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< What the Big Mac index says about the value of the rand
Monetary Fiscal Policy Mix >

A quick look at Famous Brands (FBR)

Category: Financial markets
Date
 
: 20 May 2018 

Related Topics

In today's blog we take a look at one of South Africa's biggest food franchise groups, Famous Brands and their declining margins (and share price) over recent years. 

Its signs of a tough operating environment with consumers reigning in their expenditure, and more competitors entering the Fast Food and casual dining market in South Africa.

Famous Brands logo
  • Famous Brands

Which Brands belong to Famous Brands? Well a couple of famous ones actually.

Below we name a few of Famous Brands most well known brands:
  • Steers
  • Wimpy
  • Debonairs Pizza
  • Fishaways
  • Tashas
  • Mugg & Bean
  • Turn 'n Tender
  • Salsa Mexican Grill
  • Vovo Telo
  • Milky Lane
  • Keg
  • NetCafe
  • The Bread Basket
  • Gourmet Burger Kitchen (in the UK. Which is bleeding them money right now)

The image below shows FBR's revenue and operting profit history. While revenue has gone up by 33% over the last financial year, their operating profit has gone up to but by a far lower percentage, suggesting profit margins are under pressure.
Picture
The image below shows  headline earnings per share and operating margins achieved over the lat couple of years. While the earnings/ profit per share has increased steadily over time, its growth is far less than the growth in turnover, again pointing to possible decline in margins of the business
Picture
When looking at the graphic above (the right hand side one), it is clear that the margins achieved by Famous Brands has been declining for a number of years now, and is currently sitting at the lowest level in 6 years. And this is reflected in Famous Brand's share price, as the share price history below shows.

Percent change:

As the share price history of famous Brands shows, it reached it peak towards the end of 2016. and it has been a gradual down hill decline ever since as investors starts losing faith in FBR to replicate past growth into the future. A part of their significant growth was growth by acquisition and not growth that took place organically. And eventually FBR are gonna run out of brands it can buy and slot into their vertically integrated business. And that is where their hard work starts, ensuring the brands they own grown bigger, and not growing the Famous Brands empire by just buying more and more brands.

Let us know what you thought of this article:


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